DK MetcalforMichael Wilson?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Michael Wilson
Michael Wilson outscores DK Metcalf in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: DK Metcalf comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Michael Wilson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Michael Wilson projects 1.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. The matchups don't separate them: Michael Wilson faces the Los Angeles Rams (2% fewer than average to WRs), DK Metcalf faces the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.5
- Median
- 8.2
- Ceiling
- 16.2
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 30%
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 8.6
- Ceiling
- 20.4
- Big game (20+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 6):
- 34%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | DK MetcalfWR, PIT, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Michael WilsonWR, ARI, Sun, Oct 18, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.1 | 10.2 |
| PPR projection | 11.0 | 12.8 |
| Standard projection | 7.2 | 7.6 |
| Rank this week | WR24 | WR20 |
| Matchup | at TB | at LAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.8 | 9.9 |
| Last season per game | 10.5 | 10.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 92% | 84% |
| Trade value | 5 | 12 |