Devaughn VeleorLadd McConkey?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Ladd McConkey
Ladd McConkey outscores Devaughn Vele in 60% of simulations.
Devaughn Vele still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so Ladd McConkey is the better bet, not a sure thing. Ladd McConkey projects 2.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Ladd McConkey has the better matchup against the Baltimore Ravens (12% more than average to WRs); Devaughn Vele faces the Carolina Panthers (8% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.0
- Median
- 5.9
- Ceiling
- 13.3
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 51%
- Floor
- 2.7
- Median
- 7.7
- Ceiling
- 17.0
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 37%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Devaughn VeleWR, NO, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Ladd McConkeyWR, LAC, Mon, Nov 16, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.0 | 9.1 |
| PPR projection | 8.7 | 11.0 |
| Standard projection | 5.3 | 7.1 |
| Rank this week | WR44 | WR28 |
| Matchup | vs CAR | at BAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 9.0 | 7.2 |
| Last season per game | 6.0 | 9.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 93% | 90% |
| Trade value | — | — |