DK MetcalforQuinshon Judkins?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver or running back.
Our call
Start Quinshon Judkins
Quinshon Judkins outscores DK Metcalf in 55% of simulations.
DK Metcalf still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so Quinshon Judkins is the better bet, not a sure thing. Quinshon Judkins projects 1.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Quinshon Judkins has the better matchup against the New York Jets (31% more than average to RBs); DK Metcalf faces the Indianapolis Colts (14% more than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Quinshon Judkins wins 61%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.2
- Median
- 9.8
- Ceiling
- 19.2
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 21%
- Floor
- 4.7
- Median
- 11.4
- Ceiling
- 22.9
- Big game (20+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 6):
- 18%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | DK MetcalfWR, PIT, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Quinshon JudkinsRB, CLE, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.9 | 12.8 |
| PPR projection | 13.0 | 14.4 |
| Standard projection | 8.7 | 11.2 |
| Rank this week | WR17 | RB11 |
| Matchup | vs IND | at NYJ |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.8 | 10.2 |
| Last season per game | 10.5 | 11.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 97% | 66% |
| Trade value | 8 | 12 |