DK MetcalforKayshon Boutte?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start DK Metcalf
DK Metcalf outscores Kayshon Boutte in 57% of simulations.
Kayshon Boutte still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so DK Metcalf is the better bet, not a sure thing. DK Metcalf projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: DK Metcalf faces the Cincinnati Bengals (10% fewer than average to WRs), Kayshon Boutte faces the Cleveland Browns (9% fewer than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, DK Metcalf wins 52%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.0
- Median
- 7.2
- Ceiling
- 14.4
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 38%
- Floor
- 1.2
- Median
- 5.8
- Ceiling
- 16.8
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 51%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | DK MetcalfWR, PIT, Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 p.m. ET | Kayshon BoutteWR, HOU, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.0 | 7.7 |
| PPR projection | 9.9 | 8.9 |
| Standard projection | 6.1 | 6.6 |
| Rank this week | WR32 | WR34 |
| Matchup | at CIN | at CLE |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.7 | 6.7 |
| Last season per game | 10.5 | 7.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 92% | 33% |
| Trade value | — | — |