Kayshon BoutteorMack Hollins?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Mack Hollins
Mack Hollins outscores Kayshon Boutte in 56% of simulations.
Kayshon Boutte still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Mack Hollins is the better bet, not a sure thing. Mack Hollins projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Kayshon Boutte has the better matchup against the Tennessee Titans (13% more than average to WRs); Mack Hollins faces the Las Vegas Raiders (average to WRs). Mack Hollins still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.3
- Median
- 5.3
- Ceiling
- 13.7
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 56%
- Floor
- 2.5
- Median
- 6.1
- Ceiling
- 12.0
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 49%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Kayshon BoutteWR, HOU, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Mack HollinsWR, NE, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.6 | 6.8 |
| PPR projection | 7.8 | 8.6 |
| Standard projection | 5.3 | 5.1 |
| Rank this week | WR48 | WR45 |
| Matchup | at TEN | vs LV |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.0 | 7.1 |
| Last season per game | 7.7 | 6.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 62% | 41% |
| Trade value | — | — |