Ted Hurst IIIorTory Horton?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Ted Hurst III
Ted Hurst III outscores Tory Horton in 55% of simulations.
Tory Horton still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so Ted Hurst III is the better bet, not a sure thing. Ted Hurst III projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Ted Hurst III has the better matchup against the Green Bay Packers (5% more than average to WRs); Tory Horton faces the Los Angeles Chargers (8% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 6.1
- Ceiling
- 12.6
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 49%
- Floor
- 1.2
- Median
- 5.4
- Ceiling
- 14.2
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 55%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Ted Hurst IIIWR, TB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tory HortonWR, SEA, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.9 | 6.8 |
| PPR projection | 7.9 | 7.7 |
| Standard projection | 5.9 | 5.9 |
| Rank this week | WR43 | WR46 |
| Matchup | vs GB | vs LAC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.4 | 6.3 |
| Last season per game | — | 7.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 75% | 22% |
| Trade value | — | — |