Deebo Samuel Sr.orRome Odunze?

Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Deebo Samuel Sr.

Deebo Samuel Sr. outscores Rome Odunze in 53% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Rome Odunze comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Deebo Samuel Sr., and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Deebo Samuel Sr. projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Rome Odunze has the better matchup against the Green Bay Packers (1% more than average to WRs); Deebo Samuel Sr. faces the Seattle Seahawks (22% fewer than average to WRs). Deebo Samuel Sr. still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Deebo Samuel Sr.
Floor
3.3
Median
8.4
Ceiling
17.3
Big game (20+):
6%
Dud (under 6):
31%
Rome Odunze
Floor
2.4
Median
7.7
Ceiling
17.9
Big game (20+):
7%
Dud (under 6):
37%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatDeebo Samuel Sr.WR, SF, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 p.m. ETRome OdunzeWR, CHI, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection9.69.3
PPR projection11.311.2
Standard projection7.87.5
Rank this weekWR24WR28
Matchupat SEAat GB
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game12.77.6
Last season per game9.510.3
Snap share, last game67%89%
Trade value172