Mike EvansorRome Odunze?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Mike Evans
Mike Evans outscores Rome Odunze in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Rome Odunze comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Mike Evans, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Mike Evans projects 0.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Rome Odunze has the better matchup against the New York Jets (4% fewer than average to WRs); Mike Evans faces the Denver Broncos (15% fewer than average to WRs). Mike Evans still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.4
- Median
- 7.8
- Ceiling
- 14.4
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 34%
- Floor
- 2.1
- Median
- 6.7
- Ceiling
- 15.7
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 44%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Mike EvansWR, SF, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET | Rome OdunzeWR, CHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.6 | 8.1 |
| PPR projection | 10.3 | 9.7 |
| Standard projection | 6.9 | 6.5 |
| Rank this week | WR32 | WR36 |
| Matchup | vs DEN | vs NYJ |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.6 | 6.0 |
| Last season per game | 8.7 | 10.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 33% | 85% |
| Trade value | 5 | — |