Dontayvion WicksorKC Concepcion?
Week 7 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start KC Concepcion
KC Concepcion outscores Dontayvion Wicks in 55% of simulations.
Dontayvion Wicks still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so KC Concepcion is the better bet, not a sure thing. Dontayvion Wicks projects 0.5 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Dontayvion Wicks has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (24% more than average to WRs); KC Concepcion faces the Tennessee Titans (14% more than average to WRs). KC Concepcion still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Dontayvion Wicks is the pick at 52%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.9
- Median
- 4.8
- Ceiling
- 14.6
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 59%
- Floor
- 2.3
- Median
- 5.5
- Ceiling
- 10.9
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 55%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Dontayvion WicksWR, PHI, Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 p.m. ET | KC ConcepcionWR, CLE, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.6 | 6.1 |
| PPR projection | 8.2 | 8.4 |
| Standard projection | 5.0 | 3.9 |
| Rank this week | WR44 | WR47 |
| Matchup | vs DAL | at TEN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.3 | 4.8 |
| Last season per game | 4.7 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 62% | 81% |
| Trade value | — | — |