Drew LockorFernando Mendoza?
Week 10 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Fernando Mendoza
Fernando Mendoza outscores Drew Lock in 92% of simulations.
Drew Lock comes out ahead in the other 8%. Fernando Mendoza projects 1.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Drew Lock has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (12% more than average to QBs); Fernando Mendoza faces the Seattle Seahawks (26% fewer than average to QBs). Fernando Mendoza still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.4
- Median
- 0.8
- Ceiling
- 1.2
- Big game (25+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 12):
- >99%
- Floor
- 1.0
- Median
- 1.8
- Ceiling
- 3.0
- Big game (25+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 12):
- >99%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Drew LockQB, SEA, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET | Fernando MendozaQB, LV, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 0.8 | 1.9 |
| PPR projection | 0.8 | 1.9 |
| Standard projection | 0.8 | 1.9 |
| Rank this week | QB24 | QB23 |
| Matchup | at LV | vs SEA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 15.6 | 2.2 |
| Last season per game | 0.0 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 17% |
| Trade value | — | — |