Cam WardorDrew Lock?
Week 6 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Cam Ward
Cam Ward outscores Drew Lock in 99% of simulations.
Drew Lock comes out ahead in the other 1%. Cam Ward projects 11.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Cam Ward has the better matchup against the Indianapolis Colts (11% more than average to QBs); Drew Lock faces the Denver Broncos (10% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.9
- Median
- 11.4
- Ceiling
- 19.9
- Big game (25+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 12):
- 55%
- Floor
- 0.4
- Median
- 0.8
- Ceiling
- 1.3
- Big game (25+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 12):
- >99%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Cam WardQB, TEN, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Drew LockQB, SEA, Thu, Oct 15, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.1 | 0.8 |
| PPR projection | 12.1 | 0.8 |
| Standard projection | 12.1 | 0.8 |
| Rank this week | QB22 | QB24 |
| Matchup | at IND | at DEN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.3 | 17.1 |
| Last season per game | 11.0 | 0.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | — |