Drew LockorJoe Flacco?
Week 10 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Drew Lock
Drew Lock outscores Joe Flacco in 77% of simulations.
Joe Flacco comes out ahead in the other 23%. Drew Lock projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Drew Lock has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (12% more than average to QBs); Joe Flacco faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (5% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.4
- Median
- 0.8
- Ceiling
- 1.2
- Big game (25+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 12):
- >99%
- Floor
- 0.1
- Median
- 0.4
- Ceiling
- 1.0
- Big game (25+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 12):
- >99%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Drew LockQB, SEA, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET | Joe FlaccoQB, CIN, Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| PPR projection | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Standard projection | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Rank this week | QB22 | QB24 |
| Matchup | at LV | vs PIT |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 15.6 | — |
| Last season per game | 0.0 | 11.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | — |
| Trade value | — | — |