Joe FlaccoorJustin Fields?
Week 10 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Justin Fields
Justin Fields outscores Joe Flacco in 66% of simulations.
Joe Flacco still comes out ahead in the other 34%, so Justin Fields is the better bet, not a sure thing. Justin Fields projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Justin Fields faces the Atlanta Falcons (2% more than average to QBs), Joe Flacco faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (5% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.1
- Median
- 0.4
- Ceiling
- 1.0
- Big game (25+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 12):
- >99%
- Floor
- 0.2
- Median
- 0.6
- Ceiling
- 1.2
- Big game (25+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 12):
- >99%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Joe FlaccoQB, CIN, Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 p.m. ET | Justin FieldsQB, KC, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 0.5 | 0.7 |
| PPR projection | 0.5 | 0.7 |
| Standard projection | 0.5 | 0.7 |
| Rank this week | QB24 | QB23 |
| Matchup | vs PIT | at ATL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | — | -2.1 |
| Last season per game | 11.3 | 15.9 |
| Snap share, last game | — | 8% |
| Trade value | — | — |