Carson WentzorDaniel Jones?

Week 8 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.

Our call

Start Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones outscores Carson Wentz in 99% of simulations.

Carson Wentz comes out ahead in the other 1%. Daniel Jones projects 11.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Carson Wentz has the better matchup against the Detroit Lions (29% more than average to QBs); Daniel Jones faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (5% fewer than average to QBs). Daniel Jones still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Carson Wentz
Floor
0.4
Median
0.8
Ceiling
1.2
Big game (25+):
<1%
Dud (under 12):
>99%
Daniel Jones
Floor
6.3
Median
11.3
Ceiling
18.4
Big game (25+):
1%
Dud (under 12):
56%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatCarson WentzQB, MIN, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ETDaniel JonesQB, IND, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection0.812.0
PPR projection0.812.0
Standard projection0.812.0
Rank this weekQB26QB24
Matchupat DETat JAX
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game12.89.2
Last season per game14.117.4
Snap share, last game100%100%
Trade value——