Daniel JonesorFernando Mendoza?

Week 10 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.

Our call

Start Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones outscores Fernando Mendoza in 99% of simulations.

Fernando Mendoza comes out ahead in the other 1%. Daniel Jones projects 10.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Daniel Jones has the better matchup against the Miami Dolphins (11% more than average to QBs); Fernando Mendoza faces the Seattle Seahawks (26% fewer than average to QBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Daniel Jones
Floor
6.7
Median
12.1
Ceiling
19.6
Big game (25+):
2%
Dud (under 12):
49%
Fernando Mendoza
Floor
1.0
Median
1.8
Ceiling
3.0
Big game (25+):
<1%
Dud (under 12):
>99%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

Share this

StatDaniel JonesQB, IND, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ETFernando MendozaQB, LV, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection12.81.9
PPR projection12.81.9
Standard projection12.81.9
Rank this weekQB20QB24
Matchupvs MIAvs SEA
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game9.12.2
Last season per game17.4—
Snap share, last game100%17%
Trade value——