Eli StowersorElijah Higgins?

Week 9 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.

Our call

Start Eli Stowers

Eli Stowers outscores Elijah Higgins in 55% of simulations.

Elijah Higgins still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so Eli Stowers is the better bet, not a sure thing. Eli Stowers projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: Eli Stowers faces the New York Giants (16% fewer than average to TEs), Elijah Higgins faces the Seattle Seahawks (11% fewer than average to TEs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Eli Stowers wins 60%.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Eli Stowers
Floor
0.9
Median
2.8
Ceiling
6.3
Big game (15+):
<1%
Dud (under 5):
81%
Elijah Higgins
Floor
0.4
Median
2.3
Ceiling
6.9
Big game (15+):
1%
Dud (under 5):
80%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatEli StowersTE, PHI, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ETElijah HigginsTE, ARI, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection3.33.2
PPR projection4.14.2
Standard projection2.62.2
Rank this weekTE41TE43
Matchupvs NYGat SEA
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game3.44.2
Last season per game—2.5
Snap share, last game19%32%
Trade value——