Elijah MitchellorTyjae Spears?
Week 8 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Elijah Mitchell
Elijah Mitchell outscores Tyjae Spears in 58% of simulations.
Tyjae Spears still comes out ahead in the other 42%, so Elijah Mitchell is the better bet, not a sure thing. Elijah Mitchell projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. The matchups don't separate them: Elijah Mitchell faces the Washington Commanders (5% more than average to RBs), Tyjae Spears faces the Cincinnati Bengals (10% more than average to RBs). Tyjae Spears is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.9
- Median
- 4.6
- Ceiling
- 9.2
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 68%
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 3.7
- Ceiling
- 9.6
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 73%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Elijah MitchellRB, PHI, Sun, Nov 1, 8:20 p.m. ET | Tyjae SpearsRB, TEN, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 5.1 | 4.4 |
| PPR projection | 6.6 | 5.9 |
| Standard projection | 3.5 | 3.0 |
| Rank this week | RB48 | RB50 |
| Matchup | at WAS | at CIN |
| Injury | None | Questionable |
| 2026 points per game | 4.9 | 3.3 |
| Last season per game | 0.0 | 6.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 21% | 24% |
| Trade value | — | — |