Eric SaubertorJohn Bates?
Week 9 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start John Bates
John Bates outscores Eric Saubert in 58% of simulations.
Eric Saubert still comes out ahead in the other 42%, so John Bates is the better bet, not a sure thing. John Bates projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Eric Saubert has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (21% more than average to TEs); John Bates faces the Los Angeles Rams (15% fewer than average to TEs). John Bates still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, John Bates wins 53%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.1
- Median
- 0.7
- Ceiling
- 3.2
- Big game (15+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 5):
- 97%
- Floor
- 0.2
- Median
- 1.0
- Ceiling
- 3.2
- Big game (15+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 5):
- 97%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Eric SaubertTE, SEA, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET | John BatesTE, WAS, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| PPR projection | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| Standard projection | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| Rank this week | TE65 | TE63 |
| Matchup | vs ARI | vs LAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Last season per game | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 32% | 35% |
| Trade value | — | — |