Erick AllorJack Stoll?
Week 5 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start Erick All
Erick All outscores Jack Stoll in 64% of simulations.
Jack Stoll still comes out ahead in the other 36%, so Erick All is the better bet, not a sure thing. Erick All projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Erick All has the better matchup against the Miami Dolphins (28% more than average to TEs); Jack Stoll faces the Seattle Seahawks (1% fewer than average to TEs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Erick All wins 72%; in Standard leagues, Jack Stoll is the pick at 58%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.5
- Median
- 1.4
- Ceiling
- 3.2
- Big game (15+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 5):
- 98%
- Floor
- 0.1
- Median
- 0.8
- Ceiling
- 3.8
- Big game (15+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 5):
- 95%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Erick AllTE, CIN, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Jack StollTE, SF, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| PPR projection | 2.9 | 1.8 |
| Standard projection | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Rank this week | TE63 | TE64 |
| Matchup | at MIA | at SEA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 1.5 | — |
| Last season per game | — | 1.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 42% | — |
| Trade value | — | — |