Evan EngramorNate Adkins?
Week 9 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Evan Engram
Evan Engram outscores Nate Adkins in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Nate Adkins comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Evan Engram, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Nate Adkins projects 0.4 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Evan Engram faces the Carolina Panthers (3% more than average to TEs), Nate Adkins faces the Carolina Panthers (3% more than average to TEs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Nate Adkins is the pick at 56%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.7
- Median
- 2.8
- Ceiling
- 7.0
- Big game (15+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 5):
- 78%
- Floor
- 0.5
- Median
- 2.8
- Ceiling
- 8.5
- Big game (15+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 5):
- 72%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Evan EngramTE, DEN, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Nate AdkinsTE, DEN, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 3.5 | 3.9 |
| PPR projection | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| Standard projection | 2.4 | 3.3 |
| Rank this week | TE37 | TE35 |
| Matchup | at CAR | at CAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 3.3 | 5.2 |
| Last season per game | 4.9 | 2.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 48% | 31% |
| Trade value | — | — |