Evan HullorRoschon Johnson?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Roschon Johnson
Roschon Johnson outscores Evan Hull in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Evan Hull comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Roschon Johnson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Roschon Johnson projects 0.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. The matchups don't separate them: Roschon Johnson faces the Atlanta Falcons (5% fewer than average to RBs), Evan Hull faces the Los Angeles Rams (10% fewer than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Roschon Johnson wins 59%; in Standard leagues, Evan Hull is the pick at 52%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.3
- Median
- 0.8
- Ceiling
- 1.6
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- >99%
- Floor
- 0.1
- Median
- 1.0
- Ceiling
- 3.3
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 98%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Evan HullRB, ARI, Sun, Oct 18, 4:05 p.m. ET | Roschon JohnsonRB, CHI, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| PPR projection | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Standard projection | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Rank this week | RB63 | RB61 |
| Matchup | at LAR | at ATL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | — | 3.1 |
| Last season per game | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| Snap share, last game | — | 39% |
| Trade value | — | — |