Emmett JohnsonorTyjae Spears?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Emmett Johnson
Emmett Johnson outscores Tyjae Spears in 72% of simulations.
Tyjae Spears still comes out ahead in the other 28%, so Emmett Johnson is the better bet, not a sure thing. Emmett Johnson projects 4.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Emmett Johnson has the better matchup against the Atlanta Falcons (6% more than average to RBs); Tyjae Spears faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (21% fewer than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Emmett Johnson wins 80%. Tyjae Spears is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.4
- Median
- 6.2
- Ceiling
- 17.3
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 48%
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 3.1
- Ceiling
- 8.1
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 81%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Emmett JohnsonRB, KC, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tyjae SpearsRB, TEN, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.2 | 3.7 |
| PPR projection | 9.2 | 4.8 |
| Standard projection | 7.3 | 2.5 |
| Rank this week | RB30 | RB46 |
| Matchup | at ATL | vs JAX |
| Injury | None | Questionable |
| 2026 points per game | 6.7 | 3.3 |
| Last season per game | — | 6.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 30% | 24% |
| Trade value | — | — |