Jadarian PriceorKaelon Black?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Jadarian Price
Jadarian Price outscores Kaelon Black in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Kaelon Black comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Jadarian Price, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jadarian Price projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Jadarian Price faces the Las Vegas Raiders (14% more than average to RBs), Kaelon Black faces the Dallas Cowboys (16% more than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Jadarian Price wins 59%; in Standard leagues, Kaelon Black is the pick at 55%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.9
- Median
- 5.2
- Ceiling
- 10.9
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 58%
- Floor
- 1.5
- Median
- 4.7
- Ceiling
- 10.7
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 64%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jadarian PriceRB, SEA, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET | Kaelon BlackRB, SF, Sun, Nov 15, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.0 | 5.6 |
| PPR projection | 7.2 | 5.8 |
| Standard projection | 4.8 | 5.4 |
| Rank this week | RB36 | RB38 |
| Matchup | at LV | at DAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.3 | 4.5 |
| Last season per game | — | — |
| Snap share, last game | 36% | 25% |
| Trade value | — | — |