Jadarian PriceorMichael Carter?

Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Start Jadarian Price

Jadarian Price outscores Michael Carter in 58% of simulations.

Michael Carter still comes out ahead in the other 42%, so Jadarian Price is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jadarian Price projects 1.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Jadarian Price has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (14% more than average to RBs); Michael Carter faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (21% fewer than average to RBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Jadarian Price
Floor
1.9
Median
5.2
Ceiling
10.9
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
58%
Michael Carter
Floor
1.6
Median
4.3
Ceiling
9.3
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
70%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatJadarian PriceRB, SEA, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ETMichael CarterRB, TEN, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection6.05.0
PPR projection7.26.0
Standard projection4.83.9
Rank this weekRB36RB39
Matchupat LVvs JAX
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game5.31.9
Last season per game—6.3
Snap share, last game36%25%
Trade value——