Dylan SampsonorMichael Carter?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Dylan Sampson
Dylan Sampson outscores Michael Carter in 55% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Michael Carter comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean Dylan Sampson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Dylan Sampson projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Dylan Sampson has the better matchup against the Houston Texans (5% fewer than average to RBs); Michael Carter faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (21% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.4
- Median
- 4.8
- Ceiling
- 11.7
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 60%
- Floor
- 1.6
- Median
- 4.3
- Ceiling
- 9.3
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 70%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Dylan SampsonRB, CLE, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Michael CarterRB, TEN, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 5.8 | 5.0 |
| PPR projection | 7.2 | 6.0 |
| Standard projection | 4.5 | 3.9 |
| Rank this week | RB37 | RB39 |
| Matchup | vs HOU | vs JAX |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.3 | 1.9 |
| Last season per game | 4.7 | 6.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 64% | 25% |
| Trade value | — | — |