Jadarian PriceorSeth McGowan?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Jadarian Price
Jadarian Price outscores Seth McGowan in 63% of simulations.
Seth McGowan still comes out ahead in the other 37%, so Jadarian Price is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jadarian Price projects 1.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Jadarian Price faces the Las Vegas Raiders (14% more than average to RBs), Seth McGowan faces the Miami Dolphins (12% more than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Jadarian Price wins 57%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.9
- Median
- 5.2
- Ceiling
- 10.9
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 58%
- Floor
- 0.9
- Median
- 3.7
- Ceiling
- 9.7
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 72%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jadarian PriceRB, SEA, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET | Seth McGowanRB, IND, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.0 | 4.7 |
| PPR projection | 7.2 | 5.0 |
| Standard projection | 4.8 | 4.4 |
| Rank this week | RB36 | RB40 |
| Matchup | at LV | vs MIA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.3 | 3.4 |
| Last season per game | — | — |
| Snap share, last game | 36% | 31% |
| Trade value | — | — |