Evan HullorTyler Goodson?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Evan Hull
Evan Hull outscores Tyler Goodson in 57% of simulations.
Tyler Goodson still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Evan Hull is the better bet, not a sure thing. Evan Hull projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Tyler Goodson has the better matchup against the Green Bay Packers (11% more than average to RBs); Evan Hull faces the Los Angeles Rams (10% fewer than average to RBs). Evan Hull still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.3
- Median
- 0.8
- Ceiling
- 1.6
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- >99%
- Floor
- 0.2
- Median
- 0.7
- Ceiling
- 1.5
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- >99%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Evan HullRB, ARI, Sun, Oct 18, 4:05 p.m. ET | Tyler GoodsonRB, DAL, Sun, Oct 18, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| PPR projection | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| Standard projection | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| Rank this week | RB63 | RB64 |
| Matchup | at LAR | at GB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | — | 1.7 |
| Last season per game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Snap share, last game | — | 21% |
| Trade value | — | — |