Germie BernardorJaylen Waddle?

Week 7 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Germie Bernard

Germie Bernard outscores Jaylen Waddle in 50% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Jaylen Waddle comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Germie Bernard, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Germie Bernard projects 0.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. Jaylen Waddle has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (4% more than average to WRs); Germie Bernard faces the New Orleans Saints (6% fewer than average to WRs). Germie Bernard still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Germie Bernard
Floor
2.1
Median
7.6
Ceiling
18.8
Big game (20+):
8%
Dud (under 6):
40%
Jaylen Waddle
Floor
2.6
Median
7.4
Ceiling
16.1
Big game (20+):
4%
Dud (under 6):
38%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatGermie BernardWR, PIT, Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 a.m. ETJaylen WaddleWR, DEN, Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection9.28.6
PPR projection11.910.5
Standard projection6.66.6
Rank this weekWR29WR32
Matchupat NOat ARI
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game8.27.4
Last season per game—10.1
Snap share, last game94%65%
Trade value4—