Jaylen WaddleorMichael Wilson?
Week 7 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Michael Wilson
Michael Wilson outscores Jaylen Waddle in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jaylen Waddle comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Michael Wilson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Michael Wilson projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. Jaylen Waddle has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (4% more than average to WRs); Michael Wilson faces the Denver Broncos (14% fewer than average to WRs). Michael Wilson still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.6
- Median
- 7.4
- Ceiling
- 16.1
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 38%
- Floor
- 2.0
- Median
- 7.4
- Ceiling
- 17.6
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 41%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Jaylen WaddleWR, DEN, Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 p.m. ET | Michael WilsonWR, ARI, Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.6 | 8.8 |
| PPR projection | 10.5 | 11.1 |
| Standard projection | 6.6 | 6.5 |
| Rank this week | WR32 | WR31 |
| Matchup | at ARI | vs DEN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.4 | 9.1 |
| Last season per game | 10.1 | 10.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 65% | 92% |
| Trade value | — | 4 |