Jack BechorVan Jefferson?

Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Van Jefferson

Van Jefferson outscores Jack Bech in 51% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Jack Bech comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Van Jefferson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jack Bech projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Van Jefferson faces the Los Angeles Rams (5% fewer than average to WRs), Jack Bech faces the San Francisco 49ers (1% fewer than average to WRs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Jack Bech
Floor
0.7
Median
2.7
Ceiling
7.0
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
85%
Van Jefferson
Floor
0.9
Median
2.7
Ceiling
6.6
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
87%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatJack BechWR, LV, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ETVan JeffersonWR, WAS, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection3.43.3
PPR projection4.24.1
Standard projection2.52.4
Rank this weekWR71WR73
Matchupat SFvs LAR
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game6.70.0
Last season per game2.34.0
Snap share, last game54%12%
Trade value——