Jack StollorJackson Meeks?

Week 5 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.

Our call

Start Jackson Meeks

Jackson Meeks outscores Jack Stoll in 60% of simulations.

Jack Stoll still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so Jackson Meeks is the better bet, not a sure thing. Both project 1.5 half-PPR points in Week 5. Jackson Meeks has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (34% more than average to TEs); Jack Stoll faces the Seattle Seahawks (1% fewer than average to TEs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Jackson Meeks wins 51%.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Jack Stoll
Floor
0.1
Median
0.8
Ceiling
3.8
Big game (15+):
<1%
Dud (under 5):
95%
Jackson Meeks
Floor
0.4
Median
1.3
Ceiling
3.0
Big game (15+):
<1%
Dud (under 5):
99%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatJack StollTE, SF, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 p.m. ETJackson MeeksTE, DET, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection1.51.5
PPR projection1.82.1
Standard projection1.20.9
Rank this weekTE64TE65
Matchupat SEAat ARI
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game—1.3
Last season per game1.5—
Snap share, last game—15%
Trade value——