Jack StollorSam Roush?
Week 5 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start Sam Roush
Sam Roush outscores Jack Stoll in 59% of simulations.
Jack Stoll still comes out ahead in the other 41%, so Sam Roush is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jack Stoll projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Jack Stoll has the better matchup against the Seattle Seahawks (1% fewer than average to TEs); Sam Roush faces the Green Bay Packers (15% fewer than average to TEs). Sam Roush still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.1
- Median
- 0.8
- Ceiling
- 3.8
- Big game (15+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 5):
- 95%
- Floor
- 0.5
- Median
- 1.2
- Ceiling
- 2.5
- Big game (15+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 5):
- >99%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Jack StollTE, SF, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 p.m. ET | Sam RoushTE, CHI, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| PPR projection | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| Standard projection | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Rank this week | TE64 | TE66 |
| Matchup | at SEA | at GB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | — | 1.6 |
| Last season per game | 1.5 | — |
| Snap share, last game | — | 25% |
| Trade value | — | — |