Jadarian PriceorKeaton Mitchell?

Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Lean Jadarian Price

Jadarian Price outscores Keaton Mitchell in 51% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Keaton Mitchell comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Jadarian Price, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Keaton Mitchell projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Jadarian Price has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (9% more than average to RBs); Keaton Mitchell faces the Houston Texans (5% fewer than average to RBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Jadarian Price
Floor
1.4
Median
3.7
Ceiling
7.6
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
80%
Keaton Mitchell
Floor
1.1
Median
3.5
Ceiling
8.6
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
76%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatJadarian PriceRB, SEA, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ETKeaton MitchellRB, LAC, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection4.24.3
PPR projection5.05.1
Standard projection3.43.5
Rank this weekRB45RB43
Matchupvs ARIvs HOU
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game4.25.0
Last season per game—3.9
Snap share, last game48%31%
Trade value——