Keaton MitchellorKendre Miller?

Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Lean Kendre Miller

Kendre Miller outscores Keaton Mitchell in 52% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Keaton Mitchell comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Kendre Miller, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Kendre Miller projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Kendre Miller has the better matchup against the New York Giants (12% more than average to RBs); Keaton Mitchell faces the Kansas City Chiefs (12% fewer than average to RBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Keaton Mitchell
Floor
1.4
Median
4.1
Ceiling
9.4
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
71%
Kendre Miller
Floor
1.3
Median
4.3
Ceiling
10.1
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
67%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatKeaton MitchellRB, LAC, Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 p.m. ETKendre MillerRB, NO, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection4.85.2
PPR projection5.65.7
Standard projection4.04.8
Rank this weekRB40RB37
Matchupat KCat NYG
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game6.15.5
Last season per game3.94.4
Snap share, last game34%31%
Trade value——