Raheim SandersorTyrone Tracy Jr.?

Week 5 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Lean Raheim Sanders

Raheim Sanders outscores Tyrone Tracy Jr. in 51% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Tyrone Tracy Jr. comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Raheim Sanders, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Tyrone Tracy Jr. projects 0.4 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Raheim Sanders has the better matchup against the New York Jets (31% more than average to RBs); Tyrone Tracy Jr. faces the Washington Commanders (5% more than average to RBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Raheim Sanders
Floor
2.3
Median
4.6
Ceiling
8.5
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
70%
Tyrone Tracy Jr.
Floor
1.4
Median
4.5
Ceiling
10.6
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
65%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatRaheim SandersRB, CLE, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ETTyrone Tracy Jr.RB, NYG, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection5.05.4
PPR projection5.96.1
Standard projection4.14.7
Rank this weekRB40RB37
Matchupat NYJat WAS
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game3.9-0.1
Last season per game4.79.5
Snap share, last game34%18%
Trade value——