Michael CarterorRaheim Sanders?
Week 5 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Michael Carter
Michael Carter outscores Raheim Sanders in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Raheim Sanders comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Michael Carter, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Michael Carter projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Raheim Sanders has the better matchup against the New York Jets (31% more than average to RBs); Michael Carter faces the Houston Texans (13% fewer than average to RBs). Michael Carter still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.9
- Median
- 5.0
- Ceiling
- 10.7
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 62%
- Floor
- 2.3
- Median
- 4.6
- Ceiling
- 8.5
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 70%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Michael CarterRB, TEN, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Raheim SandersRB, CLE, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 5.8 | 5.0 |
| PPR projection | 7.0 | 5.9 |
| Standard projection | 4.7 | 4.1 |
| Rank this week | RB36 | RB40 |
| Matchup | vs HOU | at NYJ |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | — | 3.9 |
| Last season per game | 6.3 | 4.7 |
| Snap share, last game | — | 34% |
| Trade value | — | — |