Jalen RoyalsorKeAndre Lambert-Smith?

Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Jalen Royals

Jalen Royals outscores KeAndre Lambert-Smith in 52% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: KeAndre Lambert-Smith comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Jalen Royals, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. KeAndre Lambert-Smith projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Jalen Royals faces the New York Jets (4% fewer than average to WRs), KeAndre Lambert-Smith faces the Houston Texans (average to WRs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Jalen Royals
Floor
0.1
Median
1.1
Ceiling
3.7
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
97%
KeAndre Lambert-Smith
Floor
0.1
Median
1.0
Ceiling
4.2
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
96%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatJalen RoyalsWR, KC, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ETKeAndre Lambert-SmithWR, LAC, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection1.61.7
PPR projection2.02.3
Standard projection1.21.1
Rank this weekWR98WR96
Matchupvs NYJvs HOU
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game1.91.9
Last season per game0.71.4
Snap share, last game32%3%
Trade value——