James CookorJaylen Warren?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start James Cook
James Cook outscores Jaylen Warren in 61% of simulations.
Jaylen Warren still comes out ahead in the other 39%, so James Cook is the better bet, not a sure thing. James Cook projects 3.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. James Cook has the better matchup against the New York Jets (24% more than average to RBs); Jaylen Warren faces the Cincinnati Bengals (13% more than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 8.6
- Median
- 18.2
- Ceiling
- 32.9
- Big game (20+):
- 43%
- Dud (under 6):
- 3%
- Floor
- 6.7
- Median
- 14.9
- Ceiling
- 27.5
- Big game (20+):
- 29%
- Dud (under 6):
- 7%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | James CookRB, BUF, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Jaylen WarrenRB, PIT, Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 20.2 | 16.4 |
| PPR projection | 21.2 | 17.9 |
| Standard projection | 19.3 | 14.9 |
| Rank this week | RB2 | RB6 |
| Matchup | at NYJ | at CIN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 17.8 | 16.0 |
| Last season per game | 16.8 | 12.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 64% | 58% |
| Trade value | 76 | 53 |