Jameson WilliamsorKeon Coleman?
Week 8 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Jameson Williams
Jameson Williams outscores Keon Coleman in 56% of simulations.
Keon Coleman still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Jameson Williams is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jameson Williams projects 1.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Keon Coleman has the better matchup against the Baltimore Ravens (15% more than average to WRs); Jameson Williams faces the Minnesota Vikings (23% fewer than average to WRs). Jameson Williams still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.2
- Median
- 9.3
- Ceiling
- 20.5
- Big game (20+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 6):
- 29%
- Floor
- 2.5
- Median
- 8.1
- Ceiling
- 18.5
- Big game (20+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 6):
- 36%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jameson WilliamsWR, DET, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | Keon ColemanWR, BUF, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.9 | 9.6 |
| PPR projection | 12.6 | 11.4 |
| Standard projection | 9.3 | 7.9 |
| Rank this week | WR17 | WR19 |
| Matchup | vs MIN | vs BAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.0 | 9.3 |
| Last season per game | 11.0 | 7.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 84% | 85% |
| Trade value | 31 | 3 |