Jameson WilliamsorTony Pollard?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver or running back.
Our call
Lean Tony Pollard
Tony Pollard outscores Jameson Williams in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jameson Williams comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Tony Pollard, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jameson Williams projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Jameson Williams has the better matchup against the New England Patriots (10% more than average to WRs); Tony Pollard faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (21% fewer than average to RBs). Tony Pollard still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.7
- Median
- 10.7
- Ceiling
- 23.4
- Big game (20+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 6):
- 24%
- Floor
- 3.7
- Median
- 10.6
- Ceiling
- 23.4
- Big game (20+):
- 16%
- Dud (under 6):
- 22%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jameson WilliamsWR, DET, Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 a.m. ET | Tony PollardRB, TEN, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.4 | 12.3 |
| PPR projection | 14.3 | 13.2 |
| Standard projection | 10.5 | 11.5 |
| Rank this week | WR12 | RB13 |
| Matchup | vs NE | vs JAX |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.5 | 13.7 |
| Last season per game | 11.0 | 10.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 83% | 82% |
| Trade value | 25 | 40 |