Jaxon Smith-NjigbaorJonathan Taylor?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver or running back.
Our call
Start Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Jaxon Smith-Njigba outscores Jonathan Taylor in 61% of simulations.
Jonathan Taylor still comes out ahead in the other 39%, so Jaxon Smith-Njigba is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jaxon Smith-Njigba projects 3.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Jaxon Smith-Njigba faces the Las Vegas Raiders (9% more than average to WRs), Jonathan Taylor faces the Miami Dolphins (12% more than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Jaxon Smith-Njigba wins 67%; in Standard leagues, Jaxon Smith-Njigba wins 55%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 9.6
- Median
- 19.1
- Ceiling
- 32.1
- Big game (20+):
- 45%
- Dud (under 6):
- 2%
- Floor
- 5.8
- Median
- 14.9
- Ceiling
- 31.0
- Big game (20+):
- 32%
- Dud (under 6):
- 11%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR, SEA, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET | Jonathan TaylorRB, IND, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 20.2 | 17.1 |
| PPR projection | 24.1 | 18.6 |
| Standard projection | 16.2 | 15.5 |
| Rank this week | WR1 | RB3 |
| Matchup | at LV | vs MIA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 21.8 | 15.6 |
| Last season per game | 17.7 | 20.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 76% | 69% |
| Trade value | 84 | 53 |