Jonah ColemanorSaquon Barkley?

Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Lean Jonah Coleman

Jonah Coleman outscores Saquon Barkley in 54% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Saquon Barkley comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Jonah Coleman, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jonah Coleman projects 1.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Jonah Coleman has the better matchup against the Carolina Panthers (20% more than average to RBs); Saquon Barkley faces the New York Giants (7% more than average to RBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Jonah Coleman
Floor
3.6
Median
10.5
Ceiling
23.4
Big game (20+):
16%
Dud (under 6):
24%
Saquon Barkley
Floor
4.2
Median
9.8
Ceiling
18.9
Big game (20+):
8%
Dud (under 6):
22%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatJonah ColemanRB, DEN, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ETSaquon BarkleyRB, PHI, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection12.210.9
PPR projection13.611.8
Standard projection10.810.1
Rank this weekRB18RB20
Matchupat CARvs NYG
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game9.97.8
Last season per game—13.4
Snap share, last game66%32%
Trade value86