Jordan MasonorJustice Hill?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Jordan Mason
Jordan Mason outscores Justice Hill in 60% of simulations.
Justice Hill still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so Jordan Mason is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jordan Mason projects 1.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Jordan Mason has the better matchup against the Green Bay Packers (8% more than average to RBs); Justice Hill faces the Los Angeles Chargers (5% fewer than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Jordan Mason wins 55%; in Standard leagues, Jordan Mason wins 65%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.1
- Median
- 6.2
- Ceiling
- 13.6
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 48%
- Floor
- 0.7
- Median
- 4.4
- Ceiling
- 14.3
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 62%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jordan MasonRB, MIN, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Justice HillRB, BAL, Mon, Nov 16, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.2 | 6.2 |
| PPR projection | 7.6 | 7.4 |
| Standard projection | 6.8 | 5.0 |
| Rank this week | RB35 | RB38 |
| Matchup | at GB | vs LAC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.5 | 5.7 |
| Last season per game | 7.6 | 5.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 48% | 52% |
| Trade value | — | — |