Jordan MasonorTy Johnson?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Jordan Mason
Jordan Mason outscores Ty Johnson in 61% of simulations.
Ty Johnson still comes out ahead in the other 39%, so Jordan Mason is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jordan Mason projects 1.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Ty Johnson has the better matchup against the New York Jets (24% more than average to RBs); Jordan Mason faces the Green Bay Packers (8% more than average to RBs). Jordan Mason still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Jordan Mason wins 56%; in Standard leagues, Jordan Mason wins 67%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.1
- Median
- 6.2
- Ceiling
- 13.6
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 48%
- Floor
- 1.1
- Median
- 4.6
- Ceiling
- 12.0
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 63%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jordan MasonRB, MIN, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Ty JohnsonRB, BUF, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.2 | 5.8 |
| PPR projection | 7.6 | 7.0 |
| Standard projection | 6.8 | 4.5 |
| Rank this week | RB35 | RB39 |
| Matchup | at GB | at NYJ |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.5 | 5.1 |
| Last season per game | 7.6 | 5.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 48% | 21% |
| Trade value | — | — |