Kimani VidalorTy Johnson?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Kimani Vidal
Kimani Vidal outscores Ty Johnson in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Ty Johnson comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Kimani Vidal, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Kimani Vidal projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Ty Johnson has the better matchup against the New York Jets (24% more than average to RBs); Kimani Vidal faces the Baltimore Ravens (3% fewer than average to RBs). Kimani Vidal still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.2
- Median
- 5.2
- Ceiling
- 14.1
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 56%
- Floor
- 1.1
- Median
- 4.6
- Ceiling
- 12.0
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 63%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Kimani VidalRB, LAC, Mon, Nov 16, 8:15 p.m. ET | Ty JohnsonRB, BUF, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.6 | 5.8 |
| PPR projection | 7.3 | 7.0 |
| Standard projection | 5.9 | 4.5 |
| Rank this week | RB36 | RB40 |
| Matchup | at BAL | at NYJ |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.5 | 5.1 |
| Last season per game | 8.5 | 5.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 39% | 21% |
| Trade value | — | — |