Kyle WilliamsorTre Harris?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Tre Harris
Tre Harris outscores Kyle Williams in 62% of simulations.
Kyle Williams still comes out ahead in the other 38%, so Tre Harris is the better bet, not a sure thing. Tre Harris projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: Tre Harris faces the Houston Texans (average to WRs), Kyle Williams faces the Green Bay Packers (5% more than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Tre Harris wins 67%; in Standard leagues, Tre Harris wins 56%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.2
- Median
- 2.6
- Ceiling
- 11.6
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 74%
- Floor
- 1.6
- Median
- 4.1
- Ceiling
- 8.6
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 73%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Kyle WilliamsWR, NE, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET | Tre HarrisWR, LAC, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 4.5 | 4.7 |
| PPR projection | 4.9 | 5.9 |
| Standard projection | 4.0 | 3.4 |
| Rank this week | WR59 | WR58 |
| Matchup | vs GB | vs HOU |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.3 | 5.8 |
| Last season per game | 3.2 | 3.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 83% | 51% |
| Trade value | — | — |