Luke FarrellorSam Roush?
Week 9 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Luke Farrell
Luke Farrell outscores Sam Roush in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Sam Roush comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Luke Farrell, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Luke Farrell projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Sam Roush has the better matchup against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (14% more than average to TEs); Luke Farrell faces the Las Vegas Raiders (3% more than average to TEs). Luke Farrell still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.1
- Median
- 0.7
- Ceiling
- 2.9
- Big game (15+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 5):
- 97%
- Floor
- 0.2
- Median
- 0.7
- Ceiling
- 1.9
- Big game (15+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 5):
- >99%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Luke FarrellTE, SF, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET | Sam RoushTE, CHI, Sun, Nov 8, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| PPR projection | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Standard projection | 0.9 | 0.6 |
| Rank this week | TE68 | TE70 |
| Matchup | vs LV | vs TB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| Last season per game | 1.8 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 39% | 31% |
| Trade value | — | — |