Ollie Gordon IIorTyrone Tracy Jr.?

Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Lean Ollie Gordon II

Ollie Gordon II outscores Tyrone Tracy Jr. in 52% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Tyrone Tracy Jr. comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Ollie Gordon II, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Ollie Gordon II projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Tyrone Tracy Jr. has the better matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles (3% more than average to RBs); Ollie Gordon II faces the Detroit Lions (15% fewer than average to RBs). Ollie Gordon II still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Ollie Gordon II
Floor
1.9
Median
6.3
Ceiling
15.1
Big game (20+):
3%
Dud (under 6):
47%
Tyrone Tracy Jr.
Floor
1.7
Median
5.9
Ceiling
15.1
Big game (20+):
4%
Dud (under 6):
50%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatOllie Gordon IIRB, MIA, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ETTyrone Tracy Jr.RB, NYG, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection7.57.4
PPR projection7.98.1
Standard projection7.26.6
Rank this weekRB33RB34
Matchupvs DETat PHI
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game11.54.2
Last season per game3.09.5
Snap share, last game82%15%
Trade value——