Savion WilliamsorTim Patrick?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Savion Williams
Savion Williams outscores Tim Patrick in 56% of simulations.
Tim Patrick still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Savion Williams is the better bet, not a sure thing. Both project 2.9 half-PPR points in Week 9. Savion Williams has the better matchup against the New England Patriots (2% more than average to WRs); Tim Patrick faces the Kansas City Chiefs (18% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.5
- Median
- 2.3
- Ceiling
- 6.0
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 90%
- Floor
- 0.2
- Median
- 1.7
- Ceiling
- 7.2
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 87%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Savion WilliamsWR, GB, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET | Tim PatrickWR, NYJ, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 2.9 | 2.9 |
| PPR projection | 3.7 | 3.4 |
| Standard projection | 2.2 | 2.3 |
| Rank this week | WR78 | WR77 |
| Matchup | at NE | at KC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.2 | 2.8 |
| Last season per game | 1.7 | 3.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 55% | 69% |
| Trade value | — | — |