Aaron JonesorJonah Coleman?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Jonah Coleman
Jonah Coleman outscores Aaron Jones in 55% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Aaron Jones comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean Jonah Coleman, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jonah Coleman projects 2.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: Jonah Coleman faces the Carolina Panthers (20% more than average to RBs), Aaron Jones faces the Buffalo Bills (15% more than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.4
- Median
- 9.4
- Ceiling
- 17.1
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 22%
- Floor
- 3.6
- Median
- 10.5
- Ceiling
- 23.4
- Big game (20+):
- 16%
- Dud (under 6):
- 24%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Aaron JonesRB, MIN, Mon, Nov 9, 8:15 p.m. ET | Jonah ColemanRB, DEN, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.1 | 12.2 |
| PPR projection | 11.3 | 13.6 |
| Standard projection | 8.9 | 10.8 |
| Rank this week | RB21 | RB18 |
| Matchup | vs BUF | at CAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.3 | 9.9 |
| Last season per game | 8.7 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 40% | 66% |
| Trade value | — | 8 |